EASTERN CONFERENCE
Bruins vs. Hurricanes
My prediction: Hurricanes in 7
RESULT: BRUINS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow I got this one wrong. The Canes were just finding ways to win...until they didn't. They never figured out this Bruins club. A lot of coaches take the blame but in this case I think it's probably accurate. The Canes got out-coached (all due respect to Rod). This was not all on the players. Adjustments should have been made to their approach. I also think they should have stuck with Mrazek. But either way, good job by the Bruins to get back to the Stanley Cup finals.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Bruins won their series against the Jackets, but the Hurricanes have been just finding ways to win. I just think the Canes will keep rolling and take out Boston, though this one could certainly go the distance.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Blues vs. Sharks
My prediction: Blues in 7
RESULT: BLUES IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Craig Berube has shown that he is a legitimately good coach and the odds-on favorite for the Jack Adams. He made adjustments to deal with the Sharks' style of play...and it worked. His team really delivered, and showed that they belong in the finals, to compete for Lord Stanley's Cup.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I keep going back and forth on this one. I really think it's going to be a good series, and my first instinct was to pick the Sharks in 7, just because of their regular season record and their overall depth. But the Blues are also an incredibly deep team, and they are possibly the most close-knit team this year other than maybe the Canes. And in the end I guess this is just a "gut" pick.
Wednesday, May 08, 2019
Thursday, April 25, 2019
2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 2
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets
My prediction: Blue Jackets in 6
RESULT: BRUINS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jackets played pretty well in this series, actually. They just ended up snake-bitten at the end. And more than that, there was a REALLY botched penalty call in game 6 that really could have turned this game into an entirely different scenario. But props to Boston who continued playing their strong game after a grueling prior series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I didn't give the Jackets a remote chance against Tampa Bay, the league's best team. I'm not going to make the same mistake. I still think the Bruins will make this a series, but if the Jackets play remotely as cohesively as they did in round one, they should take it. And they are well rested, though this might work against them. The Bruins had a long and grueling series, but the Jackets have been inactive. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
Hurricanes vs. Islanders
My prediction: Hurricanes in 6
RESULT: HURRICANES IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: The Canes showed that they are one of the better teams in the league this season. They dispatched the defending champs who were vastly superior to this Isles team and then dealt with the Isles quickly and easily. I think they will be playing for the cup this year no matter who they face next round.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Islanders not only showed up in round one, but they did so convincingly and emphatically (and quickly). But this year's Penguins team is not remotely on the same level as the Hurricanes who knocked off the defending champs. Here again, the length of the respective series' may play a factor, as the Hurricanes just finished a long and difficult series while the Islanders will be well rested. I still think the Canes will take it though.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Stars vs. Blues
My prediction: Blues in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow, was this a great series. The Stars played the best they have in a long time, but the Blues found a way to win. In game 7. In overtime. Second overtime.
Pre-Series Thoughts: These are two good clubs going at it. But the Stars are inconsistent, whereas the Blues are a steady, consistent team in pretty much every area. The Stars may steal a couple of games, but I think the Blues will take it.
Sharks vs. Avalanche
My prediction: Sharks in 7
RESULT:
Pre-Series Thoughts: I'm tempted to pick the Avs here, as they played fantastic hockey in round one. But the Sharks are just a stronger club in most areas, so we'll see how things play out. I expect a long series.
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets
My prediction: Blue Jackets in 6
RESULT: BRUINS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jackets played pretty well in this series, actually. They just ended up snake-bitten at the end. And more than that, there was a REALLY botched penalty call in game 6 that really could have turned this game into an entirely different scenario. But props to Boston who continued playing their strong game after a grueling prior series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I didn't give the Jackets a remote chance against Tampa Bay, the league's best team. I'm not going to make the same mistake. I still think the Bruins will make this a series, but if the Jackets play remotely as cohesively as they did in round one, they should take it. And they are well rested, though this might work against them. The Bruins had a long and grueling series, but the Jackets have been inactive. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
Hurricanes vs. Islanders
My prediction: Hurricanes in 6
RESULT: HURRICANES IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: The Canes showed that they are one of the better teams in the league this season. They dispatched the defending champs who were vastly superior to this Isles team and then dealt with the Isles quickly and easily. I think they will be playing for the cup this year no matter who they face next round.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Islanders not only showed up in round one, but they did so convincingly and emphatically (and quickly). But this year's Penguins team is not remotely on the same level as the Hurricanes who knocked off the defending champs. Here again, the length of the respective series' may play a factor, as the Hurricanes just finished a long and difficult series while the Islanders will be well rested. I still think the Canes will take it though.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Stars vs. Blues
My prediction: Blues in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow, was this a great series. The Stars played the best they have in a long time, but the Blues found a way to win. In game 7. In overtime. Second overtime.
Pre-Series Thoughts: These are two good clubs going at it. But the Stars are inconsistent, whereas the Blues are a steady, consistent team in pretty much every area. The Stars may steal a couple of games, but I think the Blues will take it.
Sharks vs. Avalanche
My prediction: Sharks in 7
RESULT:
Pre-Series Thoughts: I'm tempted to pick the Avs here, as they played fantastic hockey in round one. But the Sharks are just a stronger club in most areas, so we'll see how things play out. I expect a long series.
Tuesday, April 09, 2019
2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 1
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Bruins vs. Maple Leafs
My prediction: Bruins in 6
RESULT: BRUINS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: This one sure went the distance, and the Leafs really pushed hard. But Boston won out in the end. I expect them to get through the next round too.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Leafs' aggressive attack won't be enough to overcome Boston's solidity in almost every other area. The Leafs might steal a game or two, but I wouldn't be surprised if not.
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
My prediction: Lightning in 4
RESULT: BLUE JACKETS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow. I did not remotely see this coming. The Jackets showed up and the Lightning really didn't. These looked like different teams than during the season. Great job by the Jackets, taking down the regular season's best team, seemingly effortlessly.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just don't think the Jackets will be able to solve the Lightning at all. They are too relatively weak in too many areas, and the Lightning are the league's best team, IMO.
Capitals vs. Hurricanes
My prediction: Capitals in 6
RESULT: HURRICANES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Hurricanes showed that they can play with anyone. I figured this would be a close matchup and it was. How amazing is Justin Williams? And the Canes just dominated the overtime periods and deserved to take this one. Incredible win.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is really a much closer match-up than it seems. The Hurricanes are strong. But I think the defending champion Caps will prove stronger.
Penguins vs. Islanders
My prediction: Penguins in 7
RESULT: ISLANDERS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: I've never been more excited to be wrong. The Isles really showed up in this series and took it to the Penguins every game. I don't think they'll make it past round 2, but stranger things have happened (like the Blue Jackets beating the best team in the league in 4 games. Or this same series, lol).
Pre-Series Thoughts: I really don't think this Penguins club is as strong as they've been any of the last several years. The Islanders are the only team in the East that I think they can beat this year. I still think the Islanders will make this a long series.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Jets vs. Blues
My prediction: Blues in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Blues showed up just like I thought they would. They aren't the most exciting team to watch, but they are consistent. Good job.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Jets on paper should take this series. But they have tanked lately and I just think the Blues will turn in an overall better performance.
Predators vs. Stars
My prediction: Predators in 7
RESULT: STARS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Simmonds continued in his limited-minutes role, which severely hurt the Preds. No, he's not the same player he once was. But yes, he is that much of a difference maker in the playoffs. Kudos to the Stars, too, for bringing their A-game.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Both of these teams have stumbled in different ways. But I think if the Preds give Simmonds playing time, he will be a difference maker. He steps up in the playoffs. There's also the Stars' lack of scoring consistency. I think the Stars will make it a long series, but I think the Preds will take it.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sharks really showed up when it counted, especially in their come-from-behind win in game 7. Yes, the major call on Cody Eakin was laughably bad and quite possibly turned the tide of that game. But the Sharks still came back and won. Kudos for getting it done when it counts.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is a hard matchup. The Sharks are a fantastic team, but their goaltending is suspect. The Knights are a fantastic team, but their special teams are suspect. I just think the Knights will find a way to win with their depth.
Flames vs. Avalanche
My prediction: Flames in 5
RESULT: AVALANCHE IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Well the "streaks of brilliance" Avs showed up and the Flames barely showed up at all. Great job by the Avs taking this series in a relatively easy fashion.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Flames are just a better team. The Avs have shown streaks of brilliance, but have also been wildly inconsistent. Flames shouldn't have much trouble here.
Bruins vs. Maple Leafs
My prediction: Bruins in 6
RESULT: BRUINS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: This one sure went the distance, and the Leafs really pushed hard. But Boston won out in the end. I expect them to get through the next round too.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Leafs' aggressive attack won't be enough to overcome Boston's solidity in almost every other area. The Leafs might steal a game or two, but I wouldn't be surprised if not.
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
My prediction: Lightning in 4
RESULT: BLUE JACKETS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow. I did not remotely see this coming. The Jackets showed up and the Lightning really didn't. These looked like different teams than during the season. Great job by the Jackets, taking down the regular season's best team, seemingly effortlessly.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just don't think the Jackets will be able to solve the Lightning at all. They are too relatively weak in too many areas, and the Lightning are the league's best team, IMO.
Capitals vs. Hurricanes
My prediction: Capitals in 6
RESULT: HURRICANES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Hurricanes showed that they can play with anyone. I figured this would be a close matchup and it was. How amazing is Justin Williams? And the Canes just dominated the overtime periods and deserved to take this one. Incredible win.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is really a much closer match-up than it seems. The Hurricanes are strong. But I think the defending champion Caps will prove stronger.
Penguins vs. Islanders
My prediction: Penguins in 7
RESULT: ISLANDERS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: I've never been more excited to be wrong. The Isles really showed up in this series and took it to the Penguins every game. I don't think they'll make it past round 2, but stranger things have happened (like the Blue Jackets beating the best team in the league in 4 games. Or this same series, lol).
Pre-Series Thoughts: I really don't think this Penguins club is as strong as they've been any of the last several years. The Islanders are the only team in the East that I think they can beat this year. I still think the Islanders will make this a long series.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Jets vs. Blues
My prediction: Blues in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Blues showed up just like I thought they would. They aren't the most exciting team to watch, but they are consistent. Good job.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Jets on paper should take this series. But they have tanked lately and I just think the Blues will turn in an overall better performance.
Predators vs. Stars
My prediction: Predators in 7
RESULT: STARS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Simmonds continued in his limited-minutes role, which severely hurt the Preds. No, he's not the same player he once was. But yes, he is that much of a difference maker in the playoffs. Kudos to the Stars, too, for bringing their A-game.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Both of these teams have stumbled in different ways. But I think if the Preds give Simmonds playing time, he will be a difference maker. He steps up in the playoffs. There's also the Stars' lack of scoring consistency. I think the Stars will make it a long series, but I think the Preds will take it.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sharks really showed up when it counted, especially in their come-from-behind win in game 7. Yes, the major call on Cody Eakin was laughably bad and quite possibly turned the tide of that game. But the Sharks still came back and won. Kudos for getting it done when it counts.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is a hard matchup. The Sharks are a fantastic team, but their goaltending is suspect. The Knights are a fantastic team, but their special teams are suspect. I just think the Knights will find a way to win with their depth.
Flames vs. Avalanche
My prediction: Flames in 5
RESULT: AVALANCHE IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Well the "streaks of brilliance" Avs showed up and the Flames barely showed up at all. Great job by the Avs taking this series in a relatively easy fashion.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Flames are just a better team. The Avs have shown streaks of brilliance, but have also been wildly inconsistent. Flames shouldn't have much trouble here.
Thursday, May 24, 2018
2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Finals
FINALS
Golden Knights vs. Capitals
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: Capitals in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: I've never been so glad to be wrong. I pulled for the Knights, but the Caps just showed up when it counted. They got phenomenal play from their goaltender, and Ovechkin just wanted this Cup more than anyone. He set the pace for his team, and while Kuznetsov played out of his mind, I think Ovechkin is the MVP of this year's playoffs, hands down (EDIT: this was written before the announcement of the Conn Smythe winner). Congratulations, Capitals!
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just have to go with the Knights. Their story is one of the coolest in sports not just this year, but for many years. As much as I'd love to finally see the Caps win the cup, it's hard not to root for the Knights. Not only that, but I genuinely think they are the stronger team. They're deeper and more consistent. I think Ovechkin could really step up, and if Holtby plays out of his mind like he did for a couple of games in the Conference Finals, this might go the distance. But I see the Knights taking this one.
Golden Knights vs. Capitals
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: Capitals in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: I've never been so glad to be wrong. I pulled for the Knights, but the Caps just showed up when it counted. They got phenomenal play from their goaltender, and Ovechkin just wanted this Cup more than anyone. He set the pace for his team, and while Kuznetsov played out of his mind, I think Ovechkin is the MVP of this year's playoffs, hands down (EDIT: this was written before the announcement of the Conn Smythe winner). Congratulations, Capitals!
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just have to go with the Knights. Their story is one of the coolest in sports not just this year, but for many years. As much as I'd love to finally see the Caps win the cup, it's hard not to root for the Knights. Not only that, but I genuinely think they are the stronger team. They're deeper and more consistent. I think Ovechkin could really step up, and if Holtby plays out of his mind like he did for a couple of games in the Conference Finals, this might go the distance. But I see the Knights taking this one.
Friday, May 11, 2018
2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Conference Finals
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Lightning vs. Capitals
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: Capitals in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Caps showed up big time, and at times it looked like the Lightning were coasting. Ovechkin was really a difference maker in this series, leading the way for his team to fight to game 7 and show the kind of leadership he's been lacking the past few years.
Pre-Series Thoughts: A huge part of me says that this is the Capitals' year. They finally slew their personal dragon in the Pens. But I have to go with the Lightning, for a few reasons. One is depth. They are deeper in forwards and defense. Plus the Lightning are healthier, whereas Washington has some injury question marks. Also the Caps have been through a couple of tough rounds, whereas the Lightning have coasted through two arguably better teams. I have to give the edge to the Lightning, but I think the Caps will make it a series.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Golden Knights vs. Jets
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: Knights in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: After game 1's blowout, I thought all of the analysts were right, and the Jets would take the series. And game 1 looked easy for them. But in the end, it was the Knights' depth and consistency and goaltending gave them the edge in the end. What a remarkable feat, to go from expansion team to Stanley Cup finals in their inaugural year. Impressive.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Jets showed they can compete with anyone, with their grit and determination, and on the back of phenomenal goaltending from Hellebuyck. But they are playing the NHL's best surprise team (and Cinderella story). The Knights are just too deep. They are also well rested after having dispatched their first two opponents in laughably easy fashion. While most analysts are picking the Jets, and I think they might steal a game or two, I think this series goes to the Knights.
Lightning vs. Capitals
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: Capitals in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Caps showed up big time, and at times it looked like the Lightning were coasting. Ovechkin was really a difference maker in this series, leading the way for his team to fight to game 7 and show the kind of leadership he's been lacking the past few years.
Pre-Series Thoughts: A huge part of me says that this is the Capitals' year. They finally slew their personal dragon in the Pens. But I have to go with the Lightning, for a few reasons. One is depth. They are deeper in forwards and defense. Plus the Lightning are healthier, whereas Washington has some injury question marks. Also the Caps have been through a couple of tough rounds, whereas the Lightning have coasted through two arguably better teams. I have to give the edge to the Lightning, but I think the Caps will make it a series.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Golden Knights vs. Jets
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: Knights in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: After game 1's blowout, I thought all of the analysts were right, and the Jets would take the series. And game 1 looked easy for them. But in the end, it was the Knights' depth and consistency and goaltending gave them the edge in the end. What a remarkable feat, to go from expansion team to Stanley Cup finals in their inaugural year. Impressive.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Jets showed they can compete with anyone, with their grit and determination, and on the back of phenomenal goaltending from Hellebuyck. But they are playing the NHL's best surprise team (and Cinderella story). The Knights are just too deep. They are also well rested after having dispatched their first two opponents in laughably easy fashion. While most analysts are picking the Jets, and I think they might steal a game or two, I think this series goes to the Knights.
Wednesday, April 25, 2018
2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 2
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Lightning vs. Bruins
My prediction: Lightning in 6
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: After a relative blow-out by the Bruins in game 1, it was all Tampa the rest of the way. They found a way to win. Well done.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning are just a little deeper, a lot faster, and have the edge. I wouldn't be surprised if this one goes the distance, but I think Tampa will take it.
Capitals vs. Penguins
My prediction: Capitals in 7
RESULT: CAPITALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This was a pretty good matchup. And the officials absolutely did try to skew this in the Penguins' favor (the most disgusting example being Pittsburgh's 2nd goal in game one, which was the direct result of a "missed" call by the officials). But the Caps found a way. Great job.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is actually a pretty good matchup. I think the Capitals will dispatch the Pens, but it really is hard to discount the officials any time any team plays Pittsburgh. The NHL really seems to want its golden team back with a Cup win.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Predators vs. Jets
My prediction: Predators in 5
RESULT: JETS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jets really surprised me (and everyone else). They won this series for two reasons: simple hard word, and Connor Hellebuyck. They simply outworked the Preds, who played well enough to win against most teams, but not well enough to beat a hard working Jets team that just wanted it more. Add Hellebuyck into the mix...who played out of his mind...and this is a really great win by the Jets.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Nashville is the best team in the NHL this year. The Avalanche put up a great fight, and they are a weaker team than the Jets. Yet I just can't see the Jets beating the Preds.
Golden Knights vs. Sharks
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: KNIGHTS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This was a bizarre series. A couple of blowout games from both teams, and an equal number of tight one goal games. And it turned out pretty much how I expected.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Knights are arguably the only team that could be considered the best in the league next to the Preds, and though the Sharks rolled through round 1 in 4 games, so did the Knights. The Sharks may steal a game or two, but I think the Knights take it in 6.
Lightning vs. Bruins
My prediction: Lightning in 6
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: After a relative blow-out by the Bruins in game 1, it was all Tampa the rest of the way. They found a way to win. Well done.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning are just a little deeper, a lot faster, and have the edge. I wouldn't be surprised if this one goes the distance, but I think Tampa will take it.
Capitals vs. Penguins
My prediction: Capitals in 7
RESULT: CAPITALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This was a pretty good matchup. And the officials absolutely did try to skew this in the Penguins' favor (the most disgusting example being Pittsburgh's 2nd goal in game one, which was the direct result of a "missed" call by the officials). But the Caps found a way. Great job.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is actually a pretty good matchup. I think the Capitals will dispatch the Pens, but it really is hard to discount the officials any time any team plays Pittsburgh. The NHL really seems to want its golden team back with a Cup win.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Predators vs. Jets
My prediction: Predators in 5
RESULT: JETS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jets really surprised me (and everyone else). They won this series for two reasons: simple hard word, and Connor Hellebuyck. They simply outworked the Preds, who played well enough to win against most teams, but not well enough to beat a hard working Jets team that just wanted it more. Add Hellebuyck into the mix...who played out of his mind...and this is a really great win by the Jets.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Nashville is the best team in the NHL this year. The Avalanche put up a great fight, and they are a weaker team than the Jets. Yet I just can't see the Jets beating the Preds.
Golden Knights vs. Sharks
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: KNIGHTS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This was a bizarre series. A couple of blowout games from both teams, and an equal number of tight one goal games. And it turned out pretty much how I expected.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Knights are arguably the only team that could be considered the best in the league next to the Preds, and though the Sharks rolled through round 1 in 4 games, so did the Knights. The Sharks may steal a game or two, but I think the Knights take it in 6.
Wednesday, April 11, 2018
2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 1
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Lightning (1) vs. Devils (WC2)
My prediction: Lightning in 4
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: As expected, the Lighting just outmanned the Devils in just about every area. I'm actually surprised that Jersey stole a game. Well played, Tampa.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning have the edge in almost every area. The only way I see Jersey pulling an upset is through the play of one person: Taylor Hall. He has been spectacular. If the Lightning find a way to even marginally shut him down, though, this series should be short.
Capitals (1) vs. Blue Jackets (WC1)
My prediction: Capitals in 5
RESULT: CAPITALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jackets put up a good fight. A great fight, actually. And they should be proud of what they accomplished this year. They just met a superior team. The best news for them is that Bobrovsky played fantastic. He has gotten better every playoff series he has played, and he wasn't the reason they lost any of these games. That bodes well for the future. The Caps played some great hockey.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just don't think the Jackets have the capital (see what I did there?) to compete against Washington, who is stronger is just about every area.
Penguins (2) vs Flyers (3)
My prediction: Flyers in 7
RESULT: OFFICIALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: It is INFURIATING playing the Penguins. It's not just the ridiculous calls that are made against the Flyers (there are plenty), it's the fact that the Penguins get away with a LUDICROUS amount of the exact same penalties that the Flyers are called for (plus a bunch more). It's absolutely disgusting. You should be ashamed, NHL. Ashamed. And it's not just the Flyers. A couple of years ago, I asked a friend here in Columbus (a huge Blue Jackets fan) who his least favorite team to play against was, and he said, "The Penguins. You have to play them AND the officials, every time." He's right.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Yes, I am biased, and yes I know the Flyers are huge underdogs in this series. And on paper, the Penguins should dominate this series, like they did the regular season series against the Flyers. But I'm going with my gut, and going out on a limb here. I believe the Flyers will show up in this series. They have shown they can play against anyone in the league when they play a full 60 minute effort. A lot hinges on Brian Elliott, so hopefully he is back to health. We'll also have to play against the officials, as every team always has to vs the Penguins.
Boston (2) vs. Toronto (3)
My prediction: Boston in 7
RESULT: BOSTON IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Toronto really gave Boston a run for their money, as I expected. But in the end, Boston's depth helped them prevail.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is a really close matchup. Toronto has been playing consistently great hockey lately. Boston has not. But overall Boston is deeper and I think if they come ready to play their best, they will take this series. But I don't think the Leafs will make it easy.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Predators (1) vs. Avalance (WC2)
My prediction: Predators in 4
RESULT: PREDATORS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Colorado actually put up a great fight. Their fans should be proud of what they did. They just happened to end up playing the best team in the NHL.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Nashville is the best team in the NHL this year. The Avalanche barely squeaked into the playoffs. Enough said.
Golden Knights (1) vs. Kings (WC1)
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: KNIGHTS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: This series wasn't even close. The Kings only managed 3 goals in the entire series. Their experience really didn't help, and they looked lost and outmanned this entire series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Knights are the surprise Cinderella story of all sports this year. An expansion team that ended up a #1 seed? And they deserve it. They have done really well, played great as a team. I don't think the Kings can hang, though they have lots of playoff experience and might steal a game or two.
Jets (2) vs. Wild (3)
My prediction: Jets in 7
RESULT: JETS IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: This series wasn't as long as I expected. The Jets came to play, and really had their way with the Wild through the whole series. Well done.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is actually a pretty good matchup, at least on paper. Hard to call this one, but I'm going with the Jets to pull it out in a long series.
Ducks (2) vs. Sharks (3)
My prediction: Ducks in 5
RESULT: SHARKS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: This was an exercise in complete domination and perhaps the first real stunner of 2018. 4 goals for the Ducks in the entire series, and they got completely shellacked 8-1 in game 3. No contest here.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks rolled into the playoffs with a 10-1-1 record. Also, Ryan Miller hasn't won in the postseason for quite a while, and the Sharks limped into the playoffs. I think this series could go longer, but I'm guessing the Ducks get out in 5.
Lightning (1) vs. Devils (WC2)
My prediction: Lightning in 4
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: As expected, the Lighting just outmanned the Devils in just about every area. I'm actually surprised that Jersey stole a game. Well played, Tampa.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning have the edge in almost every area. The only way I see Jersey pulling an upset is through the play of one person: Taylor Hall. He has been spectacular. If the Lightning find a way to even marginally shut him down, though, this series should be short.
Capitals (1) vs. Blue Jackets (WC1)
My prediction: Capitals in 5
RESULT: CAPITALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jackets put up a good fight. A great fight, actually. And they should be proud of what they accomplished this year. They just met a superior team. The best news for them is that Bobrovsky played fantastic. He has gotten better every playoff series he has played, and he wasn't the reason they lost any of these games. That bodes well for the future. The Caps played some great hockey.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just don't think the Jackets have the capital (see what I did there?) to compete against Washington, who is stronger is just about every area.
Penguins (2) vs Flyers (3)
My prediction: Flyers in 7
RESULT: OFFICIALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: It is INFURIATING playing the Penguins. It's not just the ridiculous calls that are made against the Flyers (there are plenty), it's the fact that the Penguins get away with a LUDICROUS amount of the exact same penalties that the Flyers are called for (plus a bunch more). It's absolutely disgusting. You should be ashamed, NHL. Ashamed. And it's not just the Flyers. A couple of years ago, I asked a friend here in Columbus (a huge Blue Jackets fan) who his least favorite team to play against was, and he said, "The Penguins. You have to play them AND the officials, every time." He's right.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Yes, I am biased, and yes I know the Flyers are huge underdogs in this series. And on paper, the Penguins should dominate this series, like they did the regular season series against the Flyers. But I'm going with my gut, and going out on a limb here. I believe the Flyers will show up in this series. They have shown they can play against anyone in the league when they play a full 60 minute effort. A lot hinges on Brian Elliott, so hopefully he is back to health. We'll also have to play against the officials, as every team always has to vs the Penguins.
Boston (2) vs. Toronto (3)
My prediction: Boston in 7
RESULT: BOSTON IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Toronto really gave Boston a run for their money, as I expected. But in the end, Boston's depth helped them prevail.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is a really close matchup. Toronto has been playing consistently great hockey lately. Boston has not. But overall Boston is deeper and I think if they come ready to play their best, they will take this series. But I don't think the Leafs will make it easy.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Predators (1) vs. Avalance (WC2)
My prediction: Predators in 4
RESULT: PREDATORS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Colorado actually put up a great fight. Their fans should be proud of what they did. They just happened to end up playing the best team in the NHL.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Nashville is the best team in the NHL this year. The Avalanche barely squeaked into the playoffs. Enough said.
Golden Knights (1) vs. Kings (WC1)
My prediction: Knights in 6
RESULT: KNIGHTS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: This series wasn't even close. The Kings only managed 3 goals in the entire series. Their experience really didn't help, and they looked lost and outmanned this entire series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Knights are the surprise Cinderella story of all sports this year. An expansion team that ended up a #1 seed? And they deserve it. They have done really well, played great as a team. I don't think the Kings can hang, though they have lots of playoff experience and might steal a game or two.
Jets (2) vs. Wild (3)
My prediction: Jets in 7
RESULT: JETS IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: This series wasn't as long as I expected. The Jets came to play, and really had their way with the Wild through the whole series. Well done.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is actually a pretty good matchup, at least on paper. Hard to call this one, but I'm going with the Jets to pull it out in a long series.
Ducks (2) vs. Sharks (3)
My prediction: Ducks in 5
RESULT: SHARKS IN 4
Post-Series Thoughts: This was an exercise in complete domination and perhaps the first real stunner of 2018. 4 goals for the Ducks in the entire series, and they got completely shellacked 8-1 in game 3. No contest here.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks rolled into the playoffs with a 10-1-1 record. Also, Ryan Miller hasn't won in the postseason for quite a while, and the Sharks limped into the playoffs. I think this series could go longer, but I'm guessing the Ducks get out in 5.
Friday, May 26, 2017
2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Finals
FINALS
Nashville vs. Pittsburgh
My prediction: Predators in 6
RESULT: Penguins in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Predators outplayed the Penguins for most of this series. They deserved to win. The NHL thought otherwise. It is truly the epitome of frustration to watch the Penguins in the playoffs. No other team has a chance to compete when their goals are disallowed and the Penguins get away with what they do. Rant over. Congratulations to the "winners" of the 2017 Stanley Cup. :-/
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Penguins should not have made it out of the last round. They got a lot of assistance from very questionable officiating, directly leading to one of their goals. But even still, with all of their firepower, they just aren't as strong as the Predators in any overall area. And the Predators have had more rest.
Nashville vs. Pittsburgh
My prediction: Predators in 6
RESULT: Penguins in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Predators outplayed the Penguins for most of this series. They deserved to win. The NHL thought otherwise. It is truly the epitome of frustration to watch the Penguins in the playoffs. No other team has a chance to compete when their goals are disallowed and the Penguins get away with what they do. Rant over. Congratulations to the "winners" of the 2017 Stanley Cup. :-/
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Penguins should not have made it out of the last round. They got a lot of assistance from very questionable officiating, directly leading to one of their goals. But even still, with all of their firepower, they just aren't as strong as the Predators in any overall area. And the Predators have had more rest.
Thursday, May 11, 2017
2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Conference Finals
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Senators vs. Pittsburgh
My prediction: Senators in 7
RESULT: Penguins in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: I've made my thoughts on the Penguins well known. It is INFURIATING watching what happens with the officiating when the Penguins (the NHL's golden ticket) are in the playoffs. The Penguins' second goal came off of an AWFUL call (or corresponding missed call, however you look at it). There were bad calls both ways, but worse than that, there were some missed calls. Blatant too many men on the Senators was missed, and there were 5 or 6 dozen blatant slashing, tripping, and clutching/grabbing (interference) calls missed against the Penguins. Still, you have to give them credit for persevering with all of the injuries they've sustained. Bring on the Predators.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I still think the Pens are overachieving in this year's playoffs. I also think the Senators have dispatched two different teams that were both significantly better on paper. Give them credit for clawing their way this far. I'm thinking they'll do the same here.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks vs Predators
My prediction: Predators in 7
RESULT: Predators in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Predators just showed why they belong in the Stanley Cup Finals. My odds on favorite to win it all.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks have showed they have a right to be here. But the Predators are clicking and have a stronger defense.
Senators vs. Pittsburgh
My prediction: Senators in 7
RESULT: Penguins in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: I've made my thoughts on the Penguins well known. It is INFURIATING watching what happens with the officiating when the Penguins (the NHL's golden ticket) are in the playoffs. The Penguins' second goal came off of an AWFUL call (or corresponding missed call, however you look at it). There were bad calls both ways, but worse than that, there were some missed calls. Blatant too many men on the Senators was missed, and there were 5 or 6 dozen blatant slashing, tripping, and clutching/grabbing (interference) calls missed against the Penguins. Still, you have to give them credit for persevering with all of the injuries they've sustained. Bring on the Predators.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I still think the Pens are overachieving in this year's playoffs. I also think the Senators have dispatched two different teams that were both significantly better on paper. Give them credit for clawing their way this far. I'm thinking they'll do the same here.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks vs Predators
My prediction: Predators in 7
RESULT: Predators in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Predators just showed why they belong in the Stanley Cup Finals. My odds on favorite to win it all.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks have showed they have a right to be here. But the Predators are clicking and have a stronger defense.
Monday, April 24, 2017
2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 2
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Capitals vs. Pittsburgh
My prediction: Capitals in 7
RESULT: Penguins in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: this one indeed went to 7 games, but the Pens just brought it home in the last game. Holtby was solid in the entire series, but so was Fleury, and the Pens' big guns just showed up more in game 7. It's that simple.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Caps are just firing on all cylinders right now, and while the Pens are deep, they have a few gaps in their game. I expect this to be a nasty series, but I think the Caps' firepower and goaltending will be the difference.
NY Rangers vs Senators
My prediction: Rangers in 5
RESULT: Senators in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Well this one went this way because of one player: Lundquist. Rather than continuing his last-round form, he went back to how he looked in the regular season: average. And average was not enough to beat this determined Senators team.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I didn't pick NY to get out of last round, and I wouldn't pick them to go further in this round, either, if they were playing anyone other than the Sens. The Senators had an impressive series against a better Bruins squad. But Boston was beat up, and every single one of the games were by one goal and/or in overtime. Plus with Henrik looking back to form, I'm not even sure this will go 5.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks vs Oilers
My prediction: Oilers in 7
RESULT: Ducks in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: This was a fantastic series. Well played by both sides. It could have gone either way in the end, and the Ducks just came up slightly bigger in game 7.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks are a really strong team. Really strong. But the Oilers are playing great hockey, and have everyone contributing. I think on paper the Ducks are stronger, but the Oilers are playing a better cohesive team game.
Blues vs Predators
My prediction: Predators in 6
RESULT: Predators in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Pretty much just as I called it. High scoring series and the Preds just ended up with the edge. Well played.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Blues are playing really strong hockey right now. They played much better in the first round than I expected, but the Predators have the NHL's best defense, great coaching, and some serious firepower. I expect this to be either a really high scoring series, or a really low scoring series. I suspect high.
Capitals vs. Pittsburgh
My prediction: Capitals in 7
RESULT: Penguins in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: this one indeed went to 7 games, but the Pens just brought it home in the last game. Holtby was solid in the entire series, but so was Fleury, and the Pens' big guns just showed up more in game 7. It's that simple.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Caps are just firing on all cylinders right now, and while the Pens are deep, they have a few gaps in their game. I expect this to be a nasty series, but I think the Caps' firepower and goaltending will be the difference.
NY Rangers vs Senators
My prediction: Rangers in 5
RESULT: Senators in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Well this one went this way because of one player: Lundquist. Rather than continuing his last-round form, he went back to how he looked in the regular season: average. And average was not enough to beat this determined Senators team.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I didn't pick NY to get out of last round, and I wouldn't pick them to go further in this round, either, if they were playing anyone other than the Sens. The Senators had an impressive series against a better Bruins squad. But Boston was beat up, and every single one of the games were by one goal and/or in overtime. Plus with Henrik looking back to form, I'm not even sure this will go 5.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks vs Oilers
My prediction: Oilers in 7
RESULT: Ducks in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: This was a fantastic series. Well played by both sides. It could have gone either way in the end, and the Ducks just came up slightly bigger in game 7.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks are a really strong team. Really strong. But the Oilers are playing great hockey, and have everyone contributing. I think on paper the Ducks are stronger, but the Oilers are playing a better cohesive team game.
Blues vs Predators
My prediction: Predators in 6
RESULT: Predators in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Pretty much just as I called it. High scoring series and the Preds just ended up with the edge. Well played.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Blues are playing really strong hockey right now. They played much better in the first round than I expected, but the Predators have the NHL's best defense, great coaching, and some serious firepower. I expect this to be either a really high scoring series, or a really low scoring series. I suspect high.
Tuesday, April 11, 2017
2017 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 1
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Capitals (1) vs. Toronto (8)
My prediction: Capitals in 5
RESULT: Capitals in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Leafs put up a good fight, actually. They were pretty resilient in this series, and showed that they have a bright future under Babcock. But the Caps were just too strong. They are firing on all cylinders and outside of a few random breakdowns, they owned this series. The 2 games the Leafs won weren't as close as they seemed. They were both high scoring games but they were OT wins that could have gone either way. I think the Caps will go deep this year.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Give Mike Babcock credit for getting the Leafs this far in a shorter time than expected. They've played well down the stretch (for the most part). But they just can't hang with the Caps. I think they MIGHT steal one game, but I expect this to be a short series.
Canadiens (2) vs. NY Rangers (7)
My prediction: Canadiens in 6
RESULT: Rangers in 6
Post-Series: I think the main reason the Rangers won this is because Kenrik looked back to form, despite his regular season dip. I also think the Canadiens underachieved and the Rangers overachieved a bit.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I've gone back and forth on this one, but I just think Henrik has been a let down this year (I feel that he's always been overrated, but had a definitely down year) and I just think the Habs are stronger throughout their lineup.
Penguins (3) vs Blue Jackets (4)
My prediction: Blue Jackets in 6
RESULT: Penguins in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jackets were just outmanned by a superior squad. I really expected more out of them, but they just looked on their heels most of this series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: On paper, Pittsburgh is the stronger team, and the Jackets limped into the playoffs with a pretty sad record to end the season. But if Bob plays up to his earlier-season form and Tortorella has them ready, I think the Jackets could go deep this year.
Ottawa (5) vs. Boston (6)
My prediction: Boston in 6
RESULT: Ottawa in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Ottawa really showed up in this series, and Boston looked out of sorts the whole time. I'm not sure what it was...they just looked disjointed for much of this series. And their injured defense certainly didn't help. Kudos to Ottawa for a fantastic series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Boston is just a much stronger team. I'd call this a 4 game series, but the Bruins' blue line is pretty banged up. But their special teams will be a huge difference, and they're just stronger overall.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Blackhawks (1) vs. Predators (8)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 7
RESULT: Predators in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow I got this one wrong. After looking so good in the regular season, the Hawks fell apart. They were stifled by the Preds' defense, and weren't really ever in this series. Toews was a complete no show. Great job by Nashville.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Nasvhille has arguably the best defense in the NHL. But the Blackhawks are looking back to form after a let down last year. I think the series will go deep, but expect the Hawks to prevail.
Ducks (2) vs. Flames (7)
My prediction: Ducks in 6
RESULT: Ducks in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: So, it turned out Elliott didn't play as well as he did down the stretch, and even then the Flames were just overwhelmed by a better team.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks are just a much stronger team. The only reason I think it goes to 6 is because of how well Elliott played down the stretch. I just don't think that will be enough.
Wild (3) vs. Blues (5)
My prediction: Wild in 6
RESULT: Blues in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Man, the Blues showed up to play. And this series came down to goaltending, largely. The Wild looked tired at times, but basically Allen outplayed Dubnyk. Which shocked me, and a lot of other people. But kudos to the Blues for making it happen.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I'm not even sure this one will go this long. The Blues have a solid lineup, but Budreau is the difference here. I'd argue he's the best coach in the NHL currently, and I think this series will show why (not that he needs it to; he's pretty much already proven it in countless ways).
Oilers (4) vs. Sharks (6)
My prediction: Oilers in 7
RESULT: Oilers in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Oilers just played a great series, as I expected, and overwhelmed the Sharks even more than I expected. I think they'll go deep. There are just no major weak areas of their game right now.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Oilers are firing on all cylinders, and it's time for their superstars to step up. I expect McDavid to be a major factor in this series. He's been made out to be a superstar, but until you win some playoff series, you're just another player with potential.
Capitals (1) vs. Toronto (8)
My prediction: Capitals in 5
RESULT: Capitals in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Leafs put up a good fight, actually. They were pretty resilient in this series, and showed that they have a bright future under Babcock. But the Caps were just too strong. They are firing on all cylinders and outside of a few random breakdowns, they owned this series. The 2 games the Leafs won weren't as close as they seemed. They were both high scoring games but they were OT wins that could have gone either way. I think the Caps will go deep this year.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Give Mike Babcock credit for getting the Leafs this far in a shorter time than expected. They've played well down the stretch (for the most part). But they just can't hang with the Caps. I think they MIGHT steal one game, but I expect this to be a short series.
Canadiens (2) vs. NY Rangers (7)
My prediction: Canadiens in 6
RESULT: Rangers in 6
Post-Series: I think the main reason the Rangers won this is because Kenrik looked back to form, despite his regular season dip. I also think the Canadiens underachieved and the Rangers overachieved a bit.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I've gone back and forth on this one, but I just think Henrik has been a let down this year (I feel that he's always been overrated, but had a definitely down year) and I just think the Habs are stronger throughout their lineup.
Penguins (3) vs Blue Jackets (4)
My prediction: Blue Jackets in 6
RESULT: Penguins in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jackets were just outmanned by a superior squad. I really expected more out of them, but they just looked on their heels most of this series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: On paper, Pittsburgh is the stronger team, and the Jackets limped into the playoffs with a pretty sad record to end the season. But if Bob plays up to his earlier-season form and Tortorella has them ready, I think the Jackets could go deep this year.
Ottawa (5) vs. Boston (6)
My prediction: Boston in 6
RESULT: Ottawa in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Ottawa really showed up in this series, and Boston looked out of sorts the whole time. I'm not sure what it was...they just looked disjointed for much of this series. And their injured defense certainly didn't help. Kudos to Ottawa for a fantastic series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Boston is just a much stronger team. I'd call this a 4 game series, but the Bruins' blue line is pretty banged up. But their special teams will be a huge difference, and they're just stronger overall.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Blackhawks (1) vs. Predators (8)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 7
RESULT: Predators in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow I got this one wrong. After looking so good in the regular season, the Hawks fell apart. They were stifled by the Preds' defense, and weren't really ever in this series. Toews was a complete no show. Great job by Nashville.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Nasvhille has arguably the best defense in the NHL. But the Blackhawks are looking back to form after a let down last year. I think the series will go deep, but expect the Hawks to prevail.
Ducks (2) vs. Flames (7)
My prediction: Ducks in 6
RESULT: Ducks in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: So, it turned out Elliott didn't play as well as he did down the stretch, and even then the Flames were just overwhelmed by a better team.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Ducks are just a much stronger team. The only reason I think it goes to 6 is because of how well Elliott played down the stretch. I just don't think that will be enough.
Wild (3) vs. Blues (5)
My prediction: Wild in 6
RESULT: Blues in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Man, the Blues showed up to play. And this series came down to goaltending, largely. The Wild looked tired at times, but basically Allen outplayed Dubnyk. Which shocked me, and a lot of other people. But kudos to the Blues for making it happen.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I'm not even sure this one will go this long. The Blues have a solid lineup, but Budreau is the difference here. I'd argue he's the best coach in the NHL currently, and I think this series will show why (not that he needs it to; he's pretty much already proven it in countless ways).
Oilers (4) vs. Sharks (6)
My prediction: Oilers in 7
RESULT: Oilers in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Oilers just played a great series, as I expected, and overwhelmed the Sharks even more than I expected. I think they'll go deep. There are just no major weak areas of their game right now.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Oilers are firing on all cylinders, and it's time for their superstars to step up. I expect McDavid to be a major factor in this series. He's been made out to be a superstar, but until you win some playoff series, you're just another player with potential.
Friday, May 27, 2016
2016 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Finals
FINALS
Penguins vs. Sharks
My prediction: Sharks in 6
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Congratulations to the Penguins winning the Stanley Cup. No one in all of sports deserves it less. The Penguins ended up playing better than they actually are, and the Sharks played far worse. In fact, I'd chalk this series result up to coaching. Give the Penguins coach credit for getting his team to overachieve, and fault DeBoer for his team playing so poorly. Whatever the reason, though, this one stings for anyone that's a fan of the sport.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I don't think the Penguins deserve to be in the finals. They overachieved through the first few rounds, and I feel they got a lot of help getting there. That said, they finally had their two biggest superstars show up and start scoring. If that continues, this could series could go the distance. But I think the Sharks are deeper, they're more physical, and I think they're just a better team overall. Outside of more interference from the officials, I say Sharks in 6.
Penguins vs. Sharks
My prediction: Sharks in 6
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Congratulations to the Penguins winning the Stanley Cup. No one in all of sports deserves it less. The Penguins ended up playing better than they actually are, and the Sharks played far worse. In fact, I'd chalk this series result up to coaching. Give the Penguins coach credit for getting his team to overachieve, and fault DeBoer for his team playing so poorly. Whatever the reason, though, this one stings for anyone that's a fan of the sport.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I don't think the Penguins deserve to be in the finals. They overachieved through the first few rounds, and I feel they got a lot of help getting there. That said, they finally had their two biggest superstars show up and start scoring. If that continues, this could series could go the distance. But I think the Sharks are deeper, they're more physical, and I think they're just a better team overall. Outside of more interference from the officials, I say Sharks in 6.
Friday, May 13, 2016
2016 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Conference Finals
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Penguins vs. Lightning
My prediction: Lightning in 6
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: I was wrong again about the Pens in this series. But I don't like the way they did it. Crysby hooks the stick out of a Lightning player's hand right off the faceoff in the third period with both referees looking right at it, no call. Cullen commits a knee on knee hit against Stralman, no call. With 35 seconds left in the 3rd period, two Penguins jump and sit on two Lightning players who are trying to get to the puck to win the faceoff. No call despite the blatant interference. Say what you will, but there's no question the Penguins get a little (okay, a lot of) help from the officials. Give them credit for outdueling a faster team that had a dramatically better goalie, though.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I've consistently chosen against the Pens in this years playoffs, and have consistently been wrong. But they've done it on the backs of primarily two players: Kessel and Murray (and to be fair, though to a lesser extent, Hagelin). Kessel has really turned things around. What a difference quality teammates make! And Murray has played far better than anyone had the right to expect. However, the Pens went a long, physical series against the Caps, where the Lightning have been resting. And as well as Murray has played, Tampa has the edge in goal. They are also faster and have been seeing production from all over the ice. I give this to Tampa in 6, though I wouldn't at all be surprised if this goes the distance.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Blues vs. Sharks
My prediction: Sharks in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sharks' depth here was, indeed, the difference. Also I'm a big Hitchcock fan but the Blues made some odd decisions in goal. In the end, the Sharks just brought their game and when they are on, they are hard to beat.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Both of these teams are strong offensively, both are coming off long, hard-fought previous series, and both dominated in their series-clinching wins last round. But the Sharks are more balanced and deeper throughout their lineup, and the Blues have been inconsistent. Elliott has been phenomenal, but I think the Sharks' overall depth overwhelms the Blues' strength in goal. I'm taking the Sharks in 6.
Penguins vs. Lightning
My prediction: Lightning in 6
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: I was wrong again about the Pens in this series. But I don't like the way they did it. Crysby hooks the stick out of a Lightning player's hand right off the faceoff in the third period with both referees looking right at it, no call. Cullen commits a knee on knee hit against Stralman, no call. With 35 seconds left in the 3rd period, two Penguins jump and sit on two Lightning players who are trying to get to the puck to win the faceoff. No call despite the blatant interference. Say what you will, but there's no question the Penguins get a little (okay, a lot of) help from the officials. Give them credit for outdueling a faster team that had a dramatically better goalie, though.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I've consistently chosen against the Pens in this years playoffs, and have consistently been wrong. But they've done it on the backs of primarily two players: Kessel and Murray (and to be fair, though to a lesser extent, Hagelin). Kessel has really turned things around. What a difference quality teammates make! And Murray has played far better than anyone had the right to expect. However, the Pens went a long, physical series against the Caps, where the Lightning have been resting. And as well as Murray has played, Tampa has the edge in goal. They are also faster and have been seeing production from all over the ice. I give this to Tampa in 6, though I wouldn't at all be surprised if this goes the distance.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Blues vs. Sharks
My prediction: Sharks in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sharks' depth here was, indeed, the difference. Also I'm a big Hitchcock fan but the Blues made some odd decisions in goal. In the end, the Sharks just brought their game and when they are on, they are hard to beat.
Pre-Series Thoughts: Both of these teams are strong offensively, both are coming off long, hard-fought previous series, and both dominated in their series-clinching wins last round. But the Sharks are more balanced and deeper throughout their lineup, and the Blues have been inconsistent. Elliott has been phenomenal, but I think the Sharks' overall depth overwhelms the Blues' strength in goal. I'm taking the Sharks in 6.
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
2016 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 2
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Capitals vs. Penguins
My prediction: Capitals in 6
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: For two high-powered teams in the regular season, both teams turned in a pretty anemic offense. And though neither goalie faced a ridiculous challenge, chalk this one up to Murray, who played far better than anyone expected. Look for a goaltender controversy even once Fleury is healthy. The Caps' playoff curse continues.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Penguins just have so much depth. But the Caps have a goaltender playing out of his mind, and arguably the most potent offensive threat in the league (Yes, I would take Ovechkin over Crosby). Also I think the special teams edge goes to the Caps (albeit not by much). Barring injuries or other unforseen events, I see the Caps taking this one. I'm calling it in 6, but I wouldn't be surprised if goes the distance.
Lightning vs Islanders
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: The Isles just couldn't muster up enough of...anything, really...to overcome the Bolts' energy and speed in this series. Combine that with a goalie that is playing great hockey, and this one wasn't much of a contest.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning are faster and have the better goalie. The Isles have more grit and are coming off a hard-fought series win against an arguably better team. But I think the Lightning are deeper and their edge in speed and goal mean I give this series to the Lightning.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Stars vs. Blues
My prediction: Blues in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Stars really made this a series; they just didn't show up 100% consistently enough to take it away from the Blues. On the other hand, the Blues didn't show up 100% consistently either...just more so than the Stars did. But these are two teams that, when they're playing their best, are hard to beat. If the Blues can find a way to do that each and every game, they make a formidable opponent.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I almost want to go the other way on this one. Dallas has so many offensive threats. But the Blues have a better goalie and they knocked off the reigning champs in a gritty series. I think the Blues take this one.
Sharks vs. Predators
My prediction: Sharks in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sharks are probably the strongest team playing right now. Kudos to the Preds for taking them to 7 games, but game 7 kind of showed what the Sharks can do when their backs are against the wall.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Preds are rolling from their series, but the Sharks took down the Kings relatively easily and will be more well-rested. The Sharks have a better top line, and I think they have the edge in goal, even though the Preds have a slightly stronger blue line. As with the both teams' last series, I think this will come down to who wants it more and (therefore) grits it out, but I give the edge to the Sharks.
Capitals vs. Penguins
My prediction: Capitals in 6
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: For two high-powered teams in the regular season, both teams turned in a pretty anemic offense. And though neither goalie faced a ridiculous challenge, chalk this one up to Murray, who played far better than anyone expected. Look for a goaltender controversy even once Fleury is healthy. The Caps' playoff curse continues.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Penguins just have so much depth. But the Caps have a goaltender playing out of his mind, and arguably the most potent offensive threat in the league (Yes, I would take Ovechkin over Crosby). Also I think the special teams edge goes to the Caps (albeit not by much). Barring injuries or other unforseen events, I see the Caps taking this one. I'm calling it in 6, but I wouldn't be surprised if goes the distance.
Lightning vs Islanders
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: The Isles just couldn't muster up enough of...anything, really...to overcome the Bolts' energy and speed in this series. Combine that with a goalie that is playing great hockey, and this one wasn't much of a contest.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning are faster and have the better goalie. The Isles have more grit and are coming off a hard-fought series win against an arguably better team. But I think the Lightning are deeper and their edge in speed and goal mean I give this series to the Lightning.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Stars vs. Blues
My prediction: Blues in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Stars really made this a series; they just didn't show up 100% consistently enough to take it away from the Blues. On the other hand, the Blues didn't show up 100% consistently either...just more so than the Stars did. But these are two teams that, when they're playing their best, are hard to beat. If the Blues can find a way to do that each and every game, they make a formidable opponent.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I almost want to go the other way on this one. Dallas has so many offensive threats. But the Blues have a better goalie and they knocked off the reigning champs in a gritty series. I think the Blues take this one.
Sharks vs. Predators
My prediction: Sharks in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sharks are probably the strongest team playing right now. Kudos to the Preds for taking them to 7 games, but game 7 kind of showed what the Sharks can do when their backs are against the wall.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Preds are rolling from their series, but the Sharks took down the Kings relatively easily and will be more well-rested. The Sharks have a better top line, and I think they have the edge in goal, even though the Preds have a slightly stronger blue line. As with the both teams' last series, I think this will come down to who wants it more and (therefore) grits it out, but I give the edge to the Sharks.
Monday, April 11, 2016
2016 Stanley Cup Playoffs Predictions, Round 1
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Capitals (1) vs. Flyers (7)
My prediction: Flyers in 7
RESULT: CAPITALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Have to give the Capitals credit. This series primarily came down to special teams. The Flyers outplayed Washington for much of this series 5 on 5...the exceptions being game 5, which Washington dominated but lost, and game 3, which Washington dominated and won (big time). But with the penalty differential and Washington's red hot power play ended up being the difference. The Flyers power play was anemic (1 for 24?!?) and between their mediocre penalty killing and the Capitals' excellent power play, special teams made the difference. The upside is, both teams' goalies played out of their minds (as did Mason, for the most part). The future looks bright for both clubs.
Pre-Series Thoughts: On paper, this is a clear Capitals victory. But I think the Flyers will make it difficult. They've proven to be extremely resilient this year and they'll be playing for team owner Ed Snider who just passed away. Plus, Washington has a history of choking in the playoffs and, accordingly, I think this one could go either way. Washington does have more depth and a far more experienced playoffs coach, but I think it will be a long, physical series and that favors the Flyers. Given their solid fundamental play down the stretch, I think they'll take it (though I might be the only one in the world who thinks so) in 7.
Penguins (2) vs. Rangers (4)
My prediction: Penguins in 7
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: I expected the Rangers to show up more in this series, but the ultimate difference was Lundquist. I've said for years that the "King" is overrated, but he really dropped the ball in this series. Without solid goaltending, no chance for the Rangers.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I've gone back and forth on this one. On the one hand, I think the Penguins are the superior team. Better defensively and offensively, and better in special teams. They've also played some of their best hockey down the stretch. But they also have their primary AND backup goalies injured. And the Rangers closed out the season strong as well. In the end, though, gut instinct says the Pens will take this in a long series.
Florida (3) vs Islanders (5)
My prediction: Florida in 5
RESULT: ISLANDERS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: I'm really surprised by this, probably more than any other series. Give the Isles credit; they earned these wins with grit and determination. Nice job in their first playoff series win since 1993.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I think Florida is a bit overrated, but I just don't think the Islanders are on their level. They might steal a game, but Florida is a much stronger team here. Their special teams are a challenge, but their 5-on-5 is fantastic. Panthers in 5.
Lightning (6) vs. Red Wings (8)
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: The Lightning had no trouble closing this one out. The Red Wings just seemed like they were out of gas for much of this series and seemed overwhelmed by the Lightning's energy and speed, and Bishop was phenomenal.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I almost want to pick the Wings for this one. The Lightning have overachieved, I believe, and the Wings have underachieved. Also the Lightning seem to have trouble the last few years in closing out series, while the Wings are perennial playoff contenders. Also, Stamkos is out and Hedman is day-to-day, which could spell trouble for Tampa. But Detroit has stumbled down the stretch and their goal differential is troubling. I think Tampa's speed strikes down the Wings in 7.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Stars (1) vs. Wild (8)
My prediction: Stars in 4
RESULT: STARS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Wild stole a couple of games here, which really surprised me. Still, the Stars were just too strong.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just don't see any way the Wild can beat the Stars. The Wild have been very inconsistent and the Stars have a highly potent offense. I can't see the Wild taking a game here.
Blues (2) vs. Blackhawks (3)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Color me surprised here. The Blues' depth just won out, and they found ways to beat Crawford. Still, it took 7 games and was decided, in the end, by 1 goal. But good job to the Blues who got it done. The tide is turning in St. Louis and there's a lot for Blues fans to be excited about.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Blackhawks are a proven playoff team, with core leaders who know how to win when it counts. The Blues have lots of depth at every position, but Crawford has been playing bananas. I think the Blues might steal a game or two but give it to the Hawks in 6.
Ducks (4) vs. Predators (7)
My prediction: Ducks in 5
RESULT: PREDATORS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: If you had asked me before the playoffs began who would win it all, the Ducks would have been one of the teams on my list. You have to give the Predators credit, though: they duked this out. This was a hard-fought series and the Preds just seemed to want it more. Kudos to them. On to round 2!
Pre-Series Thoughts: I don't think there's any way the Predators can win this series. And that's not a knock on the Predators; the Ducks are just that strong (in comparison).
Kings (5) vs. Sharks (6)
My prediction: Kings in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Color me surprised here. Not only did the Sharks take the series, but they did it in fairly easy fashion, their only loss coming in overtime. The Kings just looked outclassed most of this series, as if they were out of energy or playing through energy. Give the Sharks credit; they showed up to play and made it happen.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I think the Kings are just a stronger team overall and the Sharks have overachieved a bit. The Kings' puck possession is sick and I just don't see a way that the sharks can win this.
Capitals (1) vs. Flyers (7)
My prediction: Flyers in 7
RESULT: CAPITALS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Have to give the Capitals credit. This series primarily came down to special teams. The Flyers outplayed Washington for much of this series 5 on 5...the exceptions being game 5, which Washington dominated but lost, and game 3, which Washington dominated and won (big time). But with the penalty differential and Washington's red hot power play ended up being the difference. The Flyers power play was anemic (1 for 24?!?) and between their mediocre penalty killing and the Capitals' excellent power play, special teams made the difference. The upside is, both teams' goalies played out of their minds (as did Mason, for the most part). The future looks bright for both clubs.
Pre-Series Thoughts: On paper, this is a clear Capitals victory. But I think the Flyers will make it difficult. They've proven to be extremely resilient this year and they'll be playing for team owner Ed Snider who just passed away. Plus, Washington has a history of choking in the playoffs and, accordingly, I think this one could go either way. Washington does have more depth and a far more experienced playoffs coach, but I think it will be a long, physical series and that favors the Flyers. Given their solid fundamental play down the stretch, I think they'll take it (though I might be the only one in the world who thinks so) in 7.
Penguins (2) vs. Rangers (4)
My prediction: Penguins in 7
RESULT: PENGUINS IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: I expected the Rangers to show up more in this series, but the ultimate difference was Lundquist. I've said for years that the "King" is overrated, but he really dropped the ball in this series. Without solid goaltending, no chance for the Rangers.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I've gone back and forth on this one. On the one hand, I think the Penguins are the superior team. Better defensively and offensively, and better in special teams. They've also played some of their best hockey down the stretch. But they also have their primary AND backup goalies injured. And the Rangers closed out the season strong as well. In the end, though, gut instinct says the Pens will take this in a long series.
Florida (3) vs Islanders (5)
My prediction: Florida in 5
RESULT: ISLANDERS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: I'm really surprised by this, probably more than any other series. Give the Isles credit; they earned these wins with grit and determination. Nice job in their first playoff series win since 1993.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I think Florida is a bit overrated, but I just don't think the Islanders are on their level. They might steal a game, but Florida is a much stronger team here. Their special teams are a challenge, but their 5-on-5 is fantastic. Panthers in 5.
Lightning (6) vs. Red Wings (8)
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: LIGHTNING IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: The Lightning had no trouble closing this one out. The Red Wings just seemed like they were out of gas for much of this series and seemed overwhelmed by the Lightning's energy and speed, and Bishop was phenomenal.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I almost want to pick the Wings for this one. The Lightning have overachieved, I believe, and the Wings have underachieved. Also the Lightning seem to have trouble the last few years in closing out series, while the Wings are perennial playoff contenders. Also, Stamkos is out and Hedman is day-to-day, which could spell trouble for Tampa. But Detroit has stumbled down the stretch and their goal differential is troubling. I think Tampa's speed strikes down the Wings in 7.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Stars (1) vs. Wild (8)
My prediction: Stars in 4
RESULT: STARS IN 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Wild stole a couple of games here, which really surprised me. Still, the Stars were just too strong.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I just don't see any way the Wild can beat the Stars. The Wild have been very inconsistent and the Stars have a highly potent offense. I can't see the Wild taking a game here.
Blues (2) vs. Blackhawks (3)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 6
RESULT: BLUES IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Color me surprised here. The Blues' depth just won out, and they found ways to beat Crawford. Still, it took 7 games and was decided, in the end, by 1 goal. But good job to the Blues who got it done. The tide is turning in St. Louis and there's a lot for Blues fans to be excited about.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Blackhawks are a proven playoff team, with core leaders who know how to win when it counts. The Blues have lots of depth at every position, but Crawford has been playing bananas. I think the Blues might steal a game or two but give it to the Hawks in 6.
Ducks (4) vs. Predators (7)
My prediction: Ducks in 5
RESULT: PREDATORS IN 7
Post-Series Thoughts: If you had asked me before the playoffs began who would win it all, the Ducks would have been one of the teams on my list. You have to give the Predators credit, though: they duked this out. This was a hard-fought series and the Preds just seemed to want it more. Kudos to them. On to round 2!
Pre-Series Thoughts: I don't think there's any way the Predators can win this series. And that's not a knock on the Predators; the Ducks are just that strong (in comparison).
Kings (5) vs. Sharks (6)
My prediction: Kings in 6
RESULT: SHARKS IN 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Color me surprised here. Not only did the Sharks take the series, but they did it in fairly easy fashion, their only loss coming in overtime. The Kings just looked outclassed most of this series, as if they were out of energy or playing through energy. Give the Sharks credit; they showed up to play and made it happen.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I think the Kings are just a stronger team overall and the Sharks have overachieved a bit. The Kings' puck possession is sick and I just don't see a way that the sharks can win this.
Friday, July 17, 2015
Pro-Life, Pro-Choice and A Way Forward
It's been a while since I've posted, mostly gearing up for a new ministry opportunity and a move. But I want to link to a post from pastor Scott Sauls on this potentially incendiary issue. I believe he handles it with compassion and sensitivity and with the right biblical spirit.
http://scottsauls.com/2015/07/14/on-planned-parenthood-mother-and-child-and-justice-for-all/
One sentiment that I'll call out, specifically, because I think it is crucially important:
"...is it enough for you to look at [a pregnant] ten-year old girl and her parents and say, “You shall not murder. Now that we have that settled, go in peace, be warmed and filled—Take care of yourselves while I head off to the next picket line or political rally”—without giving them any of the things that they need (James 2:16)?"
The way forward, then, that Sauls rightly calls out, is that the Church is called to care for all...the unborn, the distressed and poverty-stricken mothers, the disabled...even those on death row. All life matters to God, period. We can't be pro-life and then care little for the needs of young single mothers or stand in favor of capital punishment...at least, not without being morally inconsistent. Our ethic should not be political position, but love and compassion and care for all.
This ethic is not easy, nor comfortable. But "love one another" is messy. It means rolling up our sleeves and taking the difficult path. It's easy to posture politically, or theologically. It's much more difficult to love in deed and in action.
http://scottsauls.com/2015/07/14/on-planned-parenthood-mother-and-child-and-justice-for-all/
One sentiment that I'll call out, specifically, because I think it is crucially important:
"...is it enough for you to look at [a pregnant] ten-year old girl and her parents and say, “You shall not murder. Now that we have that settled, go in peace, be warmed and filled—Take care of yourselves while I head off to the next picket line or political rally”—without giving them any of the things that they need (James 2:16)?"
The way forward, then, that Sauls rightly calls out, is that the Church is called to care for all...the unborn, the distressed and poverty-stricken mothers, the disabled...even those on death row. All life matters to God, period. We can't be pro-life and then care little for the needs of young single mothers or stand in favor of capital punishment...at least, not without being morally inconsistent. Our ethic should not be political position, but love and compassion and care for all.
This ethic is not easy, nor comfortable. But "love one another" is messy. It means rolling up our sleeves and taking the difficult path. It's easy to posture politically, or theologically. It's much more difficult to love in deed and in action.
Saturday, May 30, 2015
2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions, Finals
STANLEY CUP FINALS
Blackhawks (West 1) vs Lightning (East 1)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 7
RESULT: Blackhawks in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This turned out to be a fantastic series. My guess is that Bishop was injured more significantly that we suspected (EDIT: confirmed, torn groin), but he still played absolutely incredible hockey. Game 6 was one of the best-played games I've seen by a losing team. Tampa played a great game. Great series overall, but especially game 7. The Hawks just had too much skill and Quenville's system is just too solid for Tampa's speed to overcome. Honestly I think Keith was the difference in this series. If not for him, the Bolts take this series. He's my call for MVP (EDIT: confirmed).
Congratulations to the 2015 Stanley Cup champions, the Chicago Blackhawks!
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is an extremely closely matched pair of teams. I expect a great series. The Bolts have played great hockey, and they closed it out against the Rangers. Bishop has been great (more so than the inexplicably inconsistent Crawford). But the Hawks have experience on their side, and a deeper roster. They've also started playing their best hockey when it matters most. Of course, the Bolts have a more explosive offense at times, but it can be inconsistent. Ultimately I believe this will come down to goaltending and special teams. Both teams have really high powered offense. The question is, who will be more inconsistent...Crawford, or the Bolts offense? I give a slight edge to the Hawks. I almost want to pick the Hawks in 6, but the Bolts are just playing high octane hockey. So Hawks in 7.
Blackhawks (West 1) vs Lightning (East 1)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 7
RESULT: Blackhawks in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This turned out to be a fantastic series. My guess is that Bishop was injured more significantly that we suspected (EDIT: confirmed, torn groin), but he still played absolutely incredible hockey. Game 6 was one of the best-played games I've seen by a losing team. Tampa played a great game. Great series overall, but especially game 7. The Hawks just had too much skill and Quenville's system is just too solid for Tampa's speed to overcome. Honestly I think Keith was the difference in this series. If not for him, the Bolts take this series. He's my call for MVP (EDIT: confirmed).
Congratulations to the 2015 Stanley Cup champions, the Chicago Blackhawks!
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is an extremely closely matched pair of teams. I expect a great series. The Bolts have played great hockey, and they closed it out against the Rangers. Bishop has been great (more so than the inexplicably inconsistent Crawford). But the Hawks have experience on their side, and a deeper roster. They've also started playing their best hockey when it matters most. Of course, the Bolts have a more explosive offense at times, but it can be inconsistent. Ultimately I believe this will come down to goaltending and special teams. Both teams have really high powered offense. The question is, who will be more inconsistent...Crawford, or the Bolts offense? I give a slight edge to the Hawks. I almost want to pick the Hawks in 6, but the Bolts are just playing high octane hockey. So Hawks in 7.
Thursday, May 14, 2015
2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions, Conference Finals
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Rangers (1) vs. Lightning (2)
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: Lightning in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: This series did, indeed, go the distance. Hard fought on both sides, great goaltending on both sides, with a couple of stinkers thrown in for each team as well, but in the end, the Bolts' speed and offense won the series for them. Down goes Henrik in a game 7, too.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning are a quick team, and they hold the edge in the regular season series. While Bishop is a great goalie, and I think Lundqvist is overrated, I do think Henrik gets the edge in goal. I think the Rangers have the edge in goal and on defense, but Tampa has the edge in speed and in offense, and they generally play better as a team. Honestly I think this series could go either way but my guess is that it will go deep, and in the end I'm picking Tampa Bay in 7.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks (1) vs. Blackhawks (2)
My prediction: Ducks in 6
RESULT: Blackhawks in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: My gut was wrong. The Hawks again showed why they are elite team. They wore the Ducks down. In the end, their best players stepped up and their goaltending, while a bit uneven, got the job done. Well done Hawks.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I still think the Ducks are the strongest team in this year's playoffs, with the best coach in the NHL (apologies to Babcock, but Budreau has even better numbers over his career, often with less to work with). Chicago can't be counted out, as they have a bunch of really skilled guys that have been to the dance before, and have come away winners. Still, I have to go with my gut here and pick the Ducks in 6, though I could see it going to 7 games.
Rangers (1) vs. Lightning (2)
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: Lightning in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: This series did, indeed, go the distance. Hard fought on both sides, great goaltending on both sides, with a couple of stinkers thrown in for each team as well, but in the end, the Bolts' speed and offense won the series for them. Down goes Henrik in a game 7, too.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning are a quick team, and they hold the edge in the regular season series. While Bishop is a great goalie, and I think Lundqvist is overrated, I do think Henrik gets the edge in goal. I think the Rangers have the edge in goal and on defense, but Tampa has the edge in speed and in offense, and they generally play better as a team. Honestly I think this series could go either way but my guess is that it will go deep, and in the end I'm picking Tampa Bay in 7.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks (1) vs. Blackhawks (2)
My prediction: Ducks in 6
RESULT: Blackhawks in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: My gut was wrong. The Hawks again showed why they are elite team. They wore the Ducks down. In the end, their best players stepped up and their goaltending, while a bit uneven, got the job done. Well done Hawks.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I still think the Ducks are the strongest team in this year's playoffs, with the best coach in the NHL (apologies to Babcock, but Budreau has even better numbers over his career, often with less to work with). Chicago can't be counted out, as they have a bunch of really skilled guys that have been to the dance before, and have come away winners. Still, I have to go with my gut here and pick the Ducks in 6, though I could see it going to 7 games.
Thursday, April 30, 2015
2015 Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions, Round 2
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Rangers (1) vs. Capitals (2)
My prediction: Rangers in 6
RESULT: Rangers in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Rangers had a bit more trouble with the Caps than I expected, almost entirely because of the phenomenal goaltending of Holtby. Even with Holtby turning in a fantastic showing, the Rangers just barely got the edge. In game. In overtime. Few series are closer than that.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Capitals pushed through round 1, but the Rangers are a much stronger team with more depth. The only way the Capitals win this is if Ovechkin is unbelievable, and Holtby stands on his head. Rangers in 6.
Canadiens (1) vs. Lightning (2)
My prediction: Lightning in 6
RESULT: Lightning in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Habs put up a darn good fight and took the Lightning the distance. In the end the Bolts took them down, but give the Habs credit for showing up far more than I expected in this series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning dominated the Habs in the regular season, and I don't see any reason that won't continue here. The post-season is a different story, but in this case I think the Lightning take out the Habs in 6.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks (1) vs. Flames (2)
My prediction: Ducks in 4
RESULT: Ducks in 5
Post-series Thoughts: The Flames actually played great in this series. I was surprised that they took a game, but even more surprised that they gave the Ducks some trouble in the series overall. But they still appeared to be overachieving and the Ducks were just too strong.
Pre-series Thoughts: I was shocked to see the Flames get out of round 1, but the Ducks just might be the strongest team in this year's playoffs (other than maybe the Rangers). I just can't see a way the Flames get through this series, and I'd be surprised if they take a game.
Blackhawks (1) vs. Wild (2)
My prediction: Wild in 7
RESULT: Blackhawks in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow. Dubnyk disappeared and the Wild fell apart. They looked like a different team at times. That's not to take anything away from the Hawks, who played great hockey. But I expected this one to go longer for sure, whoever ended up winning.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Wild have been one of the better teams the second half of the season (overcoming a terrible start), and stunned the Blues. Crawford has been shaky in net, and Dubnyk has been brilliant. He made me a believer in round 1, and I think goaltending makes the difference in this series. It won't be easy, and the Hawks may be a bit in the Wild's head after the last two years, but I think the Wild take it in 7.
Note: my picks above are based on who I think will win, not on who I want to win. In all series except CHI-MIN, my picks are the opposite of who I'm rooting for, based on draft pick implications for the Flyers. CHI-MIN has no impact on the Flyers pick(s).
Rangers (1) vs. Capitals (2)
My prediction: Rangers in 6
RESULT: Rangers in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Rangers had a bit more trouble with the Caps than I expected, almost entirely because of the phenomenal goaltending of Holtby. Even with Holtby turning in a fantastic showing, the Rangers just barely got the edge. In game. In overtime. Few series are closer than that.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Capitals pushed through round 1, but the Rangers are a much stronger team with more depth. The only way the Capitals win this is if Ovechkin is unbelievable, and Holtby stands on his head. Rangers in 6.
Canadiens (1) vs. Lightning (2)
My prediction: Lightning in 6
RESULT: Lightning in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: The Habs put up a darn good fight and took the Lightning the distance. In the end the Bolts took them down, but give the Habs credit for showing up far more than I expected in this series.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Lightning dominated the Habs in the regular season, and I don't see any reason that won't continue here. The post-season is a different story, but in this case I think the Lightning take out the Habs in 6.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks (1) vs. Flames (2)
My prediction: Ducks in 4
RESULT: Ducks in 5
Post-series Thoughts: The Flames actually played great in this series. I was surprised that they took a game, but even more surprised that they gave the Ducks some trouble in the series overall. But they still appeared to be overachieving and the Ducks were just too strong.
Pre-series Thoughts: I was shocked to see the Flames get out of round 1, but the Ducks just might be the strongest team in this year's playoffs (other than maybe the Rangers). I just can't see a way the Flames get through this series, and I'd be surprised if they take a game.
Blackhawks (1) vs. Wild (2)
My prediction: Wild in 7
RESULT: Blackhawks in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: Wow. Dubnyk disappeared and the Wild fell apart. They looked like a different team at times. That's not to take anything away from the Hawks, who played great hockey. But I expected this one to go longer for sure, whoever ended up winning.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Wild have been one of the better teams the second half of the season (overcoming a terrible start), and stunned the Blues. Crawford has been shaky in net, and Dubnyk has been brilliant. He made me a believer in round 1, and I think goaltending makes the difference in this series. It won't be easy, and the Hawks may be a bit in the Wild's head after the last two years, but I think the Wild take it in 7.
Note: my picks above are based on who I think will win, not on who I want to win. In all series except CHI-MIN, my picks are the opposite of who I'm rooting for, based on draft pick implications for the Flyers. CHI-MIN has no impact on the Flyers pick(s).
Sunday, April 12, 2015
2015 Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions, Round 1
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Rangers (1) vs. Penguins (4)
My prediction: Rangers in 6
RESULT: Rangers in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Really no surprise here. Crysby was a no-show and the Rangers just took it to them in just about every aspect of the game.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Rangers are a much stronger team than the Penguins, and they've been playing some great hockey lately. You can never count out Crysby, but given his playoffs track record, I think the most the Pens may be able to steal is 2 games. Rangers in 6.
Canadiens (1) vs. Senators (4)
My prediction: Canadiens in 5
RESULT: Canadiens in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sens put up way more of a fight than I expected, and the Habs certainly didn't dominate. But in the end they sealed it up without too much trouble.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I think the Senators were the team that accidentally snuck in this year. I think the Habs dominate this series. Sens may steal 1, but this one will be all Habs.
Lightning (2) vs. Red Wings (3)
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: Lightning in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Called this one almost exactly. Wings stepped up their game but the Lightning held them off.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I almost want to pick the Wings for this one. The Lightning have overachieved, I believe, and the Wings have underachieved. Also the Lightning seem to have trouble the last few years in closing out series, while the Wings are perennial playoff contenders. Still, I think the Lightning strike down the Wings in 7.
Capitals (2) vs. Islanders (3)
My prediction: Islanders in 6
RESULT: Capitals in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Well my prediction here was a bust. Ovechkin was just OK, I thought...moments of brilliance and moments of nothing, and he ended up with a -4 for the series...but the Caps actually played well together and edged out the Isles. Let's see if they can make a long run or if they'll be out in two.
Pre-Series Thoughts: There is a part of me that wants to say that this is finally the year that Ovechkin gets the Caps into a deep playoff run. Certainly the team around him is more solid, with better coaching than they've had for a while. But the Islanders are playing great hockey, and I have to go with history here. I think Ovie will be great but overall the Isles play better as a team and will take it in 6.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks (1) vs. Jets (4)
My prediction: Ducks in 4
RESULT: Ducks in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jets made this a much closer series than I expected in terms of individual games; the scores of most of the games was close. But in the end they couldn't hang in the series with the Ducks.
Pre-series Thoughts: I don't see any way the Jets can hang with the Ducks. The Jets are the weakest team in this year's playoffs, IMO, with the potential exception of the Senators (and I still think the Jets are worse). No way the Jets take this series, and I doubt they even get a game unless the Ducks completely fall apart.
Blues (1) vs. Wild (4)
My prediction: Blues in 5
RESULT: Wild in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This was, indeed, the series that surprised me the most. Credit this one to Dubnyk; he stood on his head in this series. Also the Wild seemed to want it more. Blues at times seemed a bit ambivalent where the Wild pushed hard almost every shift. Nicely done, Wild.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Wild have been one of the better teams the second half of the season (overcoming a terrible start), but I give the edge to the Blues because I believe they are a deeper team and have a better coach in Hitchcock. He understands strategy and gets his team to play better in the playoffs most years. Coming from the way they've been playing of late, I don't see the Wild doing much here. However, this one may be the series that surprises me the most.
Predators (2) vs. Blackhawks (3)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 6
RESULT: Blackhawks in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Predators played great hockey in this series. But they sorely missed Weber, and the Hawks are just a deeper team.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is the best the Predators have been in years, and a Blackhawks team that has underachieved. But the Hawks are a deep team with lots of talent, and I just think they'll step it up in the playoffs.
Canucks (2) vs. Flames (3)
My prediction: Canucks in 7
RESULT: Flames in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Well, this wasn't one of the closest series. Would Miller have made a difference? Possibly. But give the Flames credit. They played beyond their abilities, in my opinion. I don't mean that as a slight; I mean that they played really well as a team. Team play always trumps individual effort, and the Flames did just that in this series. Kudos to them.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This has the potential to be the closest series this playoffs. These teams split their season series at two games a piece, and seem pretty evenly matched. I think the Canucks are a slightly deeper team that is more well built for the playoffs. It could be that a missing Miller may be the difference, but I'm still giving them the benefit of the doubt.
Rangers (1) vs. Penguins (4)
My prediction: Rangers in 6
RESULT: Rangers in 5
Post-Series Thoughts: Really no surprise here. Crysby was a no-show and the Rangers just took it to them in just about every aspect of the game.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Rangers are a much stronger team than the Penguins, and they've been playing some great hockey lately. You can never count out Crysby, but given his playoffs track record, I think the most the Pens may be able to steal is 2 games. Rangers in 6.
Canadiens (1) vs. Senators (4)
My prediction: Canadiens in 5
RESULT: Canadiens in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Sens put up way more of a fight than I expected, and the Habs certainly didn't dominate. But in the end they sealed it up without too much trouble.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I think the Senators were the team that accidentally snuck in this year. I think the Habs dominate this series. Sens may steal 1, but this one will be all Habs.
Lightning (2) vs. Red Wings (3)
My prediction: Lightning in 7
RESULT: Lightning in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Called this one almost exactly. Wings stepped up their game but the Lightning held them off.
Pre-Series Thoughts: I almost want to pick the Wings for this one. The Lightning have overachieved, I believe, and the Wings have underachieved. Also the Lightning seem to have trouble the last few years in closing out series, while the Wings are perennial playoff contenders. Still, I think the Lightning strike down the Wings in 7.
Capitals (2) vs. Islanders (3)
My prediction: Islanders in 6
RESULT: Capitals in 7
Post-Series Thoughts: Well my prediction here was a bust. Ovechkin was just OK, I thought...moments of brilliance and moments of nothing, and he ended up with a -4 for the series...but the Caps actually played well together and edged out the Isles. Let's see if they can make a long run or if they'll be out in two.
Pre-Series Thoughts: There is a part of me that wants to say that this is finally the year that Ovechkin gets the Caps into a deep playoff run. Certainly the team around him is more solid, with better coaching than they've had for a while. But the Islanders are playing great hockey, and I have to go with history here. I think Ovie will be great but overall the Isles play better as a team and will take it in 6.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Ducks (1) vs. Jets (4)
My prediction: Ducks in 4
RESULT: Ducks in 4
Post-Series Thoughts: The Jets made this a much closer series than I expected in terms of individual games; the scores of most of the games was close. But in the end they couldn't hang in the series with the Ducks.
Pre-series Thoughts: I don't see any way the Jets can hang with the Ducks. The Jets are the weakest team in this year's playoffs, IMO, with the potential exception of the Senators (and I still think the Jets are worse). No way the Jets take this series, and I doubt they even get a game unless the Ducks completely fall apart.
Blues (1) vs. Wild (4)
My prediction: Blues in 5
RESULT: Wild in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: This was, indeed, the series that surprised me the most. Credit this one to Dubnyk; he stood on his head in this series. Also the Wild seemed to want it more. Blues at times seemed a bit ambivalent where the Wild pushed hard almost every shift. Nicely done, Wild.
Pre-Series Thoughts: The Wild have been one of the better teams the second half of the season (overcoming a terrible start), but I give the edge to the Blues because I believe they are a deeper team and have a better coach in Hitchcock. He understands strategy and gets his team to play better in the playoffs most years. Coming from the way they've been playing of late, I don't see the Wild doing much here. However, this one may be the series that surprises me the most.
Predators (2) vs. Blackhawks (3)
My prediction: Blackhawks in 6
RESULT: Blackhawks in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: The Predators played great hockey in this series. But they sorely missed Weber, and the Hawks are just a deeper team.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This is the best the Predators have been in years, and a Blackhawks team that has underachieved. But the Hawks are a deep team with lots of talent, and I just think they'll step it up in the playoffs.
Canucks (2) vs. Flames (3)
My prediction: Canucks in 7
RESULT: Flames in 6
Post-Series Thoughts: Well, this wasn't one of the closest series. Would Miller have made a difference? Possibly. But give the Flames credit. They played beyond their abilities, in my opinion. I don't mean that as a slight; I mean that they played really well as a team. Team play always trumps individual effort, and the Flames did just that in this series. Kudos to them.
Pre-Series Thoughts: This has the potential to be the closest series this playoffs. These teams split their season series at two games a piece, and seem pretty evenly matched. I think the Canucks are a slightly deeper team that is more well built for the playoffs. It could be that a missing Miller may be the difference, but I'm still giving them the benefit of the doubt.
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